tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post7425667254243815107..comments2023-10-29T02:04:09.499-07:00Comments on Smart Money Tracker: PORTFOLIO CHANGEGaryhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comBlogger396125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-53304000372761435302011-02-17T05:47:49.994-08:002011-02-17T05:47:49.994-08:00I agree with you Gary. Probably easier to tell sub...I agree with you Gary. Probably easier to tell subscribers it was a mild D wave than that they got it wrong and it never existed in the first place!<br /><br />One thing I like about your service is that if your timing is off by a few days, you say so and move on.<br /><br />I suspect a lot of 'Old Turkey' Aden subscribers may end up throwing in the towel near the bottom of a genuine D wave instead of loading up at that point which is what they should be doing.Alberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03095287003252916510noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-68049981249511515392011-02-17T05:30:12.276-08:002011-02-17T05:30:12.276-08:00BTW there is no such thing as a mild D-wave. D-wav...BTW there is no such thing as a mild D-wave. D-wave result from the crash after a final C-wave parabolic top.<br /><br />We haven't had that parabolic move yet.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-65176715376898866982011-02-17T05:28:58.944-08:002011-02-17T05:28:58.944-08:00Yes the only problem with both is that they won...Yes the only problem with both is that they won't get one out in time to avoid a D-wave.<br /><br />Even Old Turkey's are best to avoid those if at all possible.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-72527212581921308722011-02-17T05:26:51.613-08:002011-02-17T05:26:51.613-08:00Just for the record, the latest Aden sisters month...Just for the record, the latest Aden sisters monthly newsletter said that it's possible their 'D' wave in gold might have been a mild one and could have ended with the late Jan. low at $1308, though still too early to say at this point (I deleted their letter so trusting to my recollection of it).<br /><br />BTW I much prefer Gary's cycle analysis and instincts which are far better in timing gold and silver than the Adens, though they, like Richard Russell, are fine for long-term investors in 'Old Turkey' mode.Alberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03095287003252916510noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-87341052151811032062011-02-17T05:09:17.640-08:002011-02-17T05:09:17.640-08:00NEW POSTNEW POSTGaryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-14571948955177594162011-02-17T05:08:25.094-08:002011-02-17T05:08:25.094-08:00It's brewing..
Israel Official Says Iran Ship...It's brewing..<br /><br />Israel Official Says Iran Ship Is 'Provocation'<br /><br />http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703373404576148414160885824.htmlPaulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10530625022702519417noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-4777102791336719352011-02-17T04:24:40.008-08:002011-02-17T04:24:40.008-08:00Arum,
I'm not really sure what your chart is s...Arum,<br />I'm not really sure what your chart is showing. Are you suggesting that the gold market is going to act exactly the same as it did this summer?<br /><br />Kind of dangerous since the fundamentals are completely different as the dollar should now be collapsing into a three year cycle low (and it is making lower lows and lower highs).<br /><br />Not to mention the move out of the July bottom was one of the most powerful of this bull market.<br /><br />If you are expecting something similar why on earth would you sell short?Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-30237940085586515942011-02-17T04:17:51.402-08:002011-02-17T04:17:51.402-08:00Gold will have it's intermediate correction no...Gold will have it's intermediate correction no matter what the dollar does. The same thing happen this summer. Dollar down, gold down.<br /><br />But it really all boils down to whether the dollar still has one more move down into a final three year cycle bottom this spring. <br /><br />If the buck breaks below the Nov. low then any question about whether gold is going down will be off the table. The dollar crash into the three year cycle low will drive the final C-wave just like it's driven all final C-waves.<br /><br />Not to mention if gold gets anywhere near $1300 again we would expect the COT to hit another 100 Blees rating. <br /><br />If is going to be pretty tough for gold to drop significantly if the commercial traders are buying.<br /><br />Folks this always happens any time an intermediate cycle approaches the old highs. There's always a slew of double topper's that come out of the wood work. And so far everyone of them has been wrong for 10 years now. <br /><br />BTW the Aden sisters were calling a D-wave last spring also.<br /><br />It all boils down to the 3 year cycle in the dollar.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-72786977516550490912011-02-17T02:47:07.802-08:002011-02-17T02:47:07.802-08:00The Aden sisters think that the D-wave down starte...The Aden sisters think that the D-wave down started 3rd of January.. :( <br /><br />http://www.kitco.com/ind/Aden/aden_feb162011.htmltrond56https://www.blogger.com/profile/16626293818963423153noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-64163956511416346752011-02-17T02:21:14.240-08:002011-02-17T02:21:14.240-08:00Con, like you, I can only invest in ASX listed sha...Con, like you, I can only invest in ASX listed shares. As there aren't any silver miners of note, or any ETFs I stick to the gold miners.<br /><br />Currently I have EAU, GRY, MML, NCM, PRU, RMS,BDR and SBM. I think the ASX gold index bottomed at the end of January the same as the HUI.<br /><br />I get jealous of the guys in the USA who have a much greater choice of investments.<br /><br />Gary, thanks for this blog. The knowledge here is awesome. Your subs reports are indispensible!Ianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03132291880680035489noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-2031651860326972502011-02-17T01:00:16.579-08:002011-02-17T01:00:16.579-08:00Fung,
When the D-wave comes, Lowell will be prove...Fung,<br /><br />When the D-wave comes, Lowell will be proven right!<br /><br />Meanwhile we need to strap in for the C-wave :-)Bull Riderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07317891819714093791noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-53404354148418832482011-02-17T00:33:47.253-08:002011-02-17T00:33:47.253-08:00Hi Gary, an appreciative subscriber here from down...Hi Gary, an appreciative subscriber here from down under.<br />Really enjoy your posts however I can buy only ASX listed shares at the moment so your USA shares are used as a guide.<br />Not really that much on offer here in Silver miners thats worth looking at but having bought SVL (ASX) yesterday (Wed 16th) I had a nice little earner at approx 12%.<br />Also looking at AYN & CCU to ride this next wave up.<br />I own PRU & AZM....both gold miners in Africa & I beleive these will keep me happy as well.<br />Thanks for your excellent subscription & Blog Posts.<br />Con.Conman62https://www.blogger.com/profile/12515698390125249518noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-64497589596095833992011-02-17T00:19:04.467-08:002011-02-17T00:19:04.467-08:00"Gold bugs about to get squashed"
Dump g..."Gold bugs about to get squashed"<br />Dump gold, buy stocks for the decade ahead, newsletter editor says<br /><br />http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-bugs-about-to-get-squashed-2011-02-16<br /><br />Good to hear some different voices... :-)Funghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02021422171993122484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-41352607719645073482011-02-16T22:41:14.923-08:002011-02-16T22:41:14.923-08:00Oh.. forgot to add, not expecting a low below 1310...Oh.. forgot to add, not expecting a low below 1310Arunhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07725348783832493031noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-1691191256197459902011-02-16T22:33:04.644-08:002011-02-16T22:33:04.644-08:00MLMT
You won't be alone for shorting around 1...MLMT<br /><br />You won't be alone for shorting around 1390. There are others who believe this is a rounding top. What's your TA for that top?<br /><br />I do believe though there will be pullback around <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/uNLnMohd" rel="nofollow">1390 - chart linked</a> for couple reasons<br />- IHS target achieved. This was on a 60-min with head at 1310, neckline at 1350.<br />- shakeout weak bullsArunhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07725348783832493031noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-10351336501715385622011-02-16T22:20:28.714-08:002011-02-16T22:20:28.714-08:00Thank you DG...will do the same if it drops below ...Thank you DG...will do the same if it drops below 5.27Nike Boy2008https://www.blogger.com/profile/10480959034857242067noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-47046401207483330272011-02-16T22:14:55.540-08:002011-02-16T22:14:55.540-08:00you said that you never looked at futures that muc...you said that you never looked at futures that much? if the taxes are lower, wouldn't that be a big factor. plus you would not be feeding the beast as much =)JEFFtheFLEAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08858365650846884513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-47742233315052960902011-02-16T22:14:08.928-08:002011-02-16T22:14:08.928-08:00Thanks Gary and Alex, I'm definitely trying to...Thanks Gary and Alex, I'm definitely trying to learn. Today, I added more to my SLW position thinking if it does go down again to close the gap, I'll put in more but I am already quite overweight with SLW compared to my other holdings. I'm trying to rebalance it more in lines with Gary's portfolio. I do have a question regarding AGQ. I've been burnt really bad playing with HNU.to (2X natural gas futures). But from my understanding, AGQ follows 2X SLV and not the futures? So there's no contango effect with AGQ just the daily rebalancing effect just like every other 2X etf?Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09040791341895771104noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-39480122522994331142011-02-16T22:12:41.965-08:002011-02-16T22:12:41.965-08:00gary
sorry , second question was a different to...gary <br /><br /> sorry , second question was a different topic.. i guess im just catching on the silver should do better. it did not dawn on me until you said the other day " i probably will never buy gold again"<br /> so i should just sell 3 contracts and buy the silver. the timeing is not that big of a deal?JEFFtheFLEAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08858365650846884513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-40449701885718354352011-02-16T22:03:43.360-08:002011-02-16T22:03:43.360-08:00Thank you Bob
I shall have to check that out!
go...Thank you Bob<br /><br />I shall have to check that out!<br /><br />goodnight allALEXhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04085157354083302362noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-83303000879105774122011-02-16T22:02:20.625-08:002011-02-16T22:02:20.625-08:00I bet you could make a deal with golddealer.com to...I bet you could make a deal with golddealer.com to trade even.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-80956642779923735692011-02-16T22:01:10.055-08:002011-02-16T22:01:10.055-08:00Alex, precious metals, www.arum-geld-gold.blogspot...Alex, precious metals, www.arum-geld-gold.blogspot.comAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01151101717150834918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-85392823231174369572011-02-16T21:58:02.861-08:002011-02-16T21:58:02.861-08:00gary
if i want to go from comex gold to comex s...gary <br /><br /> if i want to go from comex gold to comex silver, how do you time that? intraday and just try to sell on a bounce and buy silver on a dip? sounds hard. ill probably have to let the bull correct the move.JEFFtheFLEAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08858365650846884513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-41765597397316201162011-02-16T21:43:58.244-08:002011-02-16T21:43:58.244-08:00gary
i wil be waiting on you to call the top. th...gary<br /><br /> i wil be waiting on you to call the top. thanksJEFFtheFLEAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08858365650846884513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7130708113832839690.post-8280275469365877152011-02-16T21:41:35.281-08:002011-02-16T21:41:35.281-08:00Sell at the top of the C-wave.
www.golddealer.com...Sell at the top of the C-wave.<br /><br />www.golddealer.com will lock in price that day when you call.Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14556370683669428668noreply@blogger.com