I don't expect this intermediate cycle to top until maybe Sept. There will be daily cycle pullbacks along the way but the intermediate trend should still be higher for another 2-3 months.
The coil zone was 1290-95. Gold is now making higher highs. The only way gold moves back down and makes a lower low at this point is from another manipulation event. I think it's unlikely though as the attacks are having almost no effect on gold any more.
I'm expecting gold to now start to trade naturally with normal advances and normal corrections.
I don't know how many times you are going to ask this same question but here it is again. Stock portfolio = up 1% Commodity portfolio = up almost 13% Metals portfolio = up about 20% Currency portfolio = up about 2% bond portfolio = down
Stock portfolio is in cash waiting for a daily cycle low before entering any more positions.
Commodity portfolio is about 60% invested. i'm waiting for oil to generate an intermediate correction before adding energy positions to the commodity portfolio and bringing it up to fully invested.
The metal portfolio is fully invested with stops below the recent yearly cycle low and about a 20% cushion before those stops could be hit.
Currency portfolio is in cash waiting for the cycle counts to clear up and tell me whether the dollar is moving down into it's three year cycle low or not.
The bond portfolio is fully invested long term short and the premises that the 30 year bond bull ended 2 years ago. This portfolio isn't managed. It's a long term position.
I don't know how many times you are going to ask this same question but here it is again. Stock portfolio = up 1% Commodity portfolio = up almost 13% Metals portfolio = up about 20% Currency portfolio = up about 2% bond portfolio = down
_____________
ANNNNDDDD there it is people!
I TOLD YOU YESTERDAY, that this LYING SACK OF CRAP, would ONLY answer the PnL question based off of ONLY his MOST RECENT short term luck ( a month!! he's a virtual math genius of stats!) vs a REAL, HONEST, MORAL and FORTHRIGHT longer term "REALITY"...
with some actual statistical RELEVANCE, BUT ALSO the REALITY of his long time (very few remaining) subs REAL ACCOUNTS, that show NEGATIVE RETURNS (aka UNDERWATER) over the past few YEARS!
Thank you GARY-TARD for not disappointing us all!
I must thank you for making me loo like I have some freaking amazing crystal ball with my predictions of you, but I must admit, than I do not....
I am merely a heads-up guy watching a TOTAL CON-MAN at work, knowing how TOTAL CON-MEN operate.
I'm jsut reading straight from the book. YOU FIT the profile so well, an amateur like myself can even point it out,
LMFAO
LIAR and CON-MAN - underwater over years of data. DUMPED old Turkey, Dump this, dump that cause' you know I'ma bleedin' so bad we ain't EVER gettin' home with this mess!! lol and I gotsta get me some CRED back!! lmfao.
It's a good thing CROOKS no longer lose hands by law.
and if this gains were so "huge" like you say i don't understand why you're still here selling a trial subscription for 10 $! unfortunately i don't think i will ever see Soros selling a subscription for 10$ and not even for a million :-((
GARY, This Anonymous Moron is getting in to you, on top of being disgustingly annoying! -Either delete him, or ignore him. Is bothering us others who comment to give or receive a helping opinion on this site. Don't let him influence your day...as you say: emotions and markets...they kinda not much with one another... Keep us informed. Be well! Petro
Yeah man...Gary, don't let the monkey, or the flea, or the bug, or the cockroach, or whatever the f*** his name is bite you man... Screw him! Smoke that mo-fo from site!
hahaha Gary that's ridiculs. publish your AUDITED OR BANK STATEMENT RESULTS (DO YOU UNDERSTAND AUDITED OR BANK STATEMENT???) OF THE LAST 3 YEARS!!! YOUR NUMBERS ARE NONSENSE, UNAUDITED AND WITHOUT A TIMELINE
yep, pretty much as the many anonymous comments have stated. A dodgy bloke operating a dodgy site. Wonder how much he makes, subscriptions cant be enough for a livelihood . And the trading certainly doesn't cut it...
If I understand these comments correctly, from both Flea and the Anonymous I thought was worth following, both seem to have, unfortunately, no credibility. Flea has determined his life goal is to be a bitter useless lemon and Anonymous is - well - an Anonymous coward who adds, unfortunately, absolutely nothing of value to today's market trading.
But this does not have to be so going forward.
Fellas, I feel badly about your lack of self-esteem but know the spirit you allow in your hearts is of your own doing. Perhaps you will find a way to be a contributor instead of a detractor to this blog?
Neither of you have offered one iota of market insight, but I bet you are both capable. Let us hear your thoughts going forward. If you disagree with Gary's present thoughts, then say so and say why. No one is perfect and we will allow both you and Gary to be wrong from time to time.
The song that you want to blame Gary for your bitter hearts has gotten more than old. I can predict the inane comments you will write for the next 10 posts. You add nothing of value, just the same mindless thoughts of people stuck in bitterness and living in their perception of the past.
The past is over.
Move on and concern yourselves with today and the future.
Well, it is certainly helpful to KNOW that buy and hold of an index like SPY or T-Bills will beat Gary's trading over time. As Uncle Warren has said in the past: the first rule of investing is "Don't lose money" and the second rule is "see rule #1" What he was really trying to say, IHMO is that huge drawdowns (like Gary's subscribers incurred in 2013) can really wreck a person for life, because it can take a lifetime to recover...and what really sucks is, if you trade like Gary you get a capital loss carryforward that you'll be lucky if you get to deduct during your lifetime.
Frankly the type of trading that works better than Gary is actually kind of boring....but I'm not going to discuss it as most of you would likely screw it up anyway. Most of you here would simply be better off giving up the idea of trading altogether, and just buying and holding SPY for the long haul (although I'd wait for a correction) or T-bonds. If you're a metal-head, by all means buy and hold GDX if you can stomach the volatility.
As for getting rich from trading or investing....let's face it...it ain't gonna happen for 99.99% of you....and Gary sure as heck ain't your ticket to the rich house by any stretch of the imagination.
Luckily I didn't sell. "Let the winners run".
ReplyDelete"Only you can choose to give up your pot of gold."
Delete- Old Turkey
I don't expect this intermediate cycle to top until maybe Sept. There will be daily cycle pullbacks along the way but the intermediate trend should still be higher for another 2-3 months.
ReplyDeleteStill in April and May's coil zone. The break still has yet to happen. Could still be to the downside again.
DeleteThe coil zone was 1290-95. Gold is now making higher highs. The only way gold moves back down and makes a lower low at this point is from another manipulation event. I think it's unlikely though as the attacks are having almost no effect on gold any more.
DeleteI'm expecting gold to now start to trade naturally with normal advances and normal corrections.
Here's my mining sector analysis, which is every bit as valid as Gary's....and is actually better because it is only wrong 50% of the time:
ReplyDeletehttp://i58.tinypic.com/30ljjub.jpg
GARY SHOW US YOUR AUDITED P&L!!!! LET'S STOP THIS FRAUD
ReplyDeleteI don't know how many times you are going to ask this same question but here it is again.
DeleteStock portfolio = up 1%
Commodity portfolio = up almost 13%
Metals portfolio = up about 20%
Currency portfolio = up about 2%
bond portfolio = down
Stock portfolio is in cash waiting for a daily cycle low before entering any more positions.
Commodity portfolio is about 60% invested. i'm waiting for oil to generate an intermediate correction before adding
energy positions to the commodity portfolio and bringing it up to fully invested.
The metal portfolio is fully invested with stops below the recent yearly cycle low and about a 20% cushion before those stops could be hit.
Currency portfolio is in cash waiting for the cycle counts to clear up and tell me whether the dollar is moving down into it's three year cycle low or not.
The bond portfolio is fully invested long term short and the premises that the 30 year bond bull ended 2 years ago. This portfolio isn't managed. It's a long term position.
Gary June 26, 2014 at 10:25 AM
DeleteI don't know how many times you are going to ask this same question but here it is again.
Stock portfolio = up 1%
Commodity portfolio = up almost 13%
Metals portfolio = up about 20%
Currency portfolio = up about 2%
bond portfolio = down
_____________
ANNNNDDDD there it is people!
I TOLD YOU YESTERDAY, that this LYING SACK OF CRAP, would ONLY answer the PnL question based off of ONLY his MOST RECENT short term luck ( a month!! he's a virtual math genius of stats!) vs a REAL, HONEST, MORAL and FORTHRIGHT longer term "REALITY"...
with some actual statistical RELEVANCE, BUT ALSO the REALITY of his long time (very few remaining) subs REAL ACCOUNTS, that show NEGATIVE RETURNS (aka UNDERWATER) over the past few YEARS!
Thank you GARY-TARD for not disappointing us all!
I must thank you for making me loo like I have some freaking amazing crystal ball with my predictions of you, but I must admit, than I do not....
I am merely a heads-up guy watching a TOTAL CON-MAN at work, knowing how TOTAL CON-MEN operate.
I'm jsut reading straight from the book. YOU FIT the profile so well, an amateur like myself can even point it out,
LMFAO
LIAR and CON-MAN - underwater over years of data. DUMPED old Turkey, Dump this, dump that cause' you know I'ma bleedin' so bad we ain't EVER gettin' home with this mess!! lol and I gotsta get me some CRED back!! lmfao.
It's a good thing CROOKS no longer lose hands by law.
We'd be calling you STUMPY as well as STUPID! :-)
lmfao.
- Flea
Gary , can you block him??
DeleteFlea is right. Referring only to recent performance isn't exactly fair....nor is starting new portfolios when older portfolios got underwater.
DeleteWell if you want me to start with older portfolio's I can include everything from the 09 bottom on and the gains will be huge.
Deleteyes Gary thank you. but audited or bank statement please. not fake numbers
Deleteand if this gains were so "huge" like you say i don't understand why you're still here selling a trial subscription for 10 $! unfortunately i don't think i will ever see Soros selling a subscription for 10$ and not even for a million :-((
DeleteGARY,
DeleteThis Anonymous Moron is getting in to you, on top of being disgustingly annoying!
-Either delete him, or ignore him. Is bothering us others who comment to give or receive a helping opinion on this site.
Don't let him influence your day...as you say: emotions and markets...they kinda not much with one another...
Keep us informed.
Be well!
Petro
Yeah man...Gary,
Deletedon't let the monkey, or the flea, or the bug, or the cockroach, or whatever the f*** his name is bite you man...
Screw him! Smoke that mo-fo from site!
i believe there's Gary with a fake account behing goldboy or oilpetro. Nobody like to loose money so you're fake!
DeleteMORE STUPIDITY from the biggest con-man since Jim Jones - check this latest work to show how this dumb $hit tries to SNOW-JOB you.
Delete_____
Gary June 26, 2014 at 12:20 PM
Well if you want me to start with older portfolio's I can include everything from the 09 bottom on and the gains will be huge.
________
You MEAN LIKE EVERYONE And ANYONE ELSE ACTUALLY HAS??
LMFAO
And guess what LIAR?
What you said above is STILL NOT THE TRUTH!
YOU GOT OWNED in GDX, SLV ETC...... FREAKING OWNED!
YOU LOST ALL OF YOUR GAINS FROM THAT ERA during the smack down because you're TOO DUMB to figure out WHY YOU SUCK SO BAD.
You're a NET LOSER IN ANY REASONABLE TIME-FRAME
AND YES STUPID, everyone EXCEPT YOU AND THE DUMB $HITS THAT FOLLOWED YOU ARE, GET THIS..........
UP SINCE 2009!
LMFAO YOU'RE STILL A MORON and STILL A LOSER - GUARANTEED!
KEEP WRITING FOOL, AIN'T NO-ONE PAYING FOR YOUR SERVICE AND NO AMOUNT OF LYING AND COVERING UP IS GONNA HELP YOU THIS TIME.
You're toast Gary-Tard!
This jig is up! Glad i took the time to call your sorry @$$ out when i did. Hopefully I saved a few from your 'Financial Aids' service.
So go ahead DICK. Let's see that paperwork from 2009 and PROVE ME RIGHT AGAIN!
If you were right, yuo would not have DUMPED THE PAPER ACCOUNTS WHEN THEY WENT RED, you F**king LIAR.
SO yes, "STUMPY", let's see them, you lying sack of $h*t.
- Flea
GARY SHOW US YOUR AUDITED P&L!!! LET'S STOP THIS FRAUD. IF YOU'RE CONSIDERING A SUBSCRIPTION, DON'T DO IT! WASTE OF MONEY + LOSSES
ReplyDeletehahaha Gary that's ridiculs. publish your AUDITED OR BANK STATEMENT RESULTS (DO YOU UNDERSTAND AUDITED OR BANK STATEMENT???) OF THE LAST 3 YEARS!!! YOUR NUMBERS ARE NONSENSE, UNAUDITED AND WITHOUT A TIMELINE
ReplyDeleteeverything is unfair here. unbelievable liar.
ReplyDeleteWhat kind of guy burns the record when the trades go against him and then just starts a new model portfolio when the trades start to work again?
ReplyDeleteyep, pretty much as the many anonymous comments have stated. A dodgy bloke operating a dodgy site. Wonder how much he makes, subscriptions cant be enough for a livelihood . And the trading certainly doesn't cut it...
ReplyDeleteIf I understand these comments correctly, from both Flea and the Anonymous I thought was worth following, both seem to have, unfortunately, no credibility. Flea has determined his life goal is to be a bitter useless lemon and Anonymous is - well - an Anonymous coward who adds, unfortunately, absolutely nothing of value to today's market trading.
ReplyDeleteBut this does not have to be so going forward.
Fellas, I feel badly about your lack of self-esteem but know the spirit you allow in your hearts is of your own doing. Perhaps you will find a way to be a contributor instead of a detractor to this blog?
Neither of you have offered one iota of market insight, but I bet you are both capable. Let us hear your thoughts going forward. If you disagree with Gary's present thoughts, then say so and say why. No one is perfect and we will allow both you and Gary to be wrong from time to time.
The song that you want to blame Gary for your bitter hearts has gotten more than old. I can predict the inane comments you will write for the next 10 posts. You add nothing of value, just the same mindless thoughts of people stuck in bitterness and living in their perception of the past.
The past is over.
Move on and concern yourselves with today and the future.
Well, it is certainly helpful to KNOW that buy and hold of an index like SPY or T-Bills will beat Gary's trading over time. As Uncle Warren has said in the past: the first rule of investing is "Don't lose money" and the second rule is "see rule #1" What he was really trying to say, IHMO is that huge drawdowns (like Gary's subscribers incurred in 2013) can really wreck a person for life, because it can take a lifetime to recover...and what really sucks is, if you trade like Gary you get a capital loss carryforward that you'll be lucky if you get to deduct during your lifetime.
DeleteFrankly the type of trading that works better than Gary is actually kind of boring....but I'm not going to discuss it as most of you would likely screw it up anyway. Most of you here would simply be better off giving up the idea of trading altogether, and just buying and holding SPY for the long haul (although I'd wait for a correction) or T-bonds. If you're a metal-head, by all means buy and hold GDX if you can stomach the volatility.
As for getting rich from trading or investing....let's face it...it ain't gonna happen for 99.99% of you....and Gary sure as heck ain't your ticket to the rich house by any stretch of the imagination.